If the monsoons fail this year, the Modi government will have some serious policy-making, damage control and number crunching to do Monsoon rains reached India's southern coast of Kerala a few days later than usual on Friday, offering relief to farmers eagerly waiting for the start of the wet season. But what is worrying them, the experts and the common man is the possibility of an El Nino and the drought that it can trigger. The slight delay in monsoon this year (which usually hits Kerala on June 1) and speculations about a poor monsoon, accompanied by a 60 per cent chance of an El Nino weather pattern, certainly, are not good news for the newly-elected NDA government, which has experienced maximum droughts during its regime (1998, 2002 and 2004). El Nino, which is caused by higher-than-normal sea-surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, can cause droughts in India and Australia and floods in Latin America

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